AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAC Milan faced Atalanta in Serie A on 18 October 2026. The match ended **3–2**, with AC Milan taking the victory over Atalanta. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.23 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** The 3–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.49 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.77 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 5 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.45 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 4 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 8.60 (confidence: 15%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.23 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.49 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.77 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.45 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 8.60 | 15% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.68 | 5 | | Corners | 8.7 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 69% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 10.05.26 AC Milan 2-3 Atalanta | 28.10.25 Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan | 20.04.25 AC Milan 0-1 Atalanta | 06.12.24 Atalanta 2-1 AC Milan | 25.02.24 AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta ## Pre-Match Odds | AC Milan Win | Draw | Atalanta Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.40 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*