Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Aarhus faced Egnatia in Conference League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Aarhus to Win** @ 1.50 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.45 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.65 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.70 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.53 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 17.00 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Aarhus to Win | 1.50 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.47 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.45 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.65 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.70 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.53 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 17.00 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.86 | 2 | | Corners | 9.0 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Aarhus Win | Draw | Egnatia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.50 | 4.50 | 6.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*