Aarhus (Den) 1–3 Benfica (Por) — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Aarhus (Den) faced Benfica (Por) in Europa League on 27 August 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with Benfica (Por) taking the victory over Aarhus (Den). We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Benfica (Por) to Win** @ 1.50 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.52 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 4 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.78 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip More second-half goals than our model predicted. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Benfica (Por) to Win | 1.50 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.52 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.78 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.75 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 74% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.31 | 4 | | Corners | 10.1 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 20.08.26 Benfica 3-1 Aarhus | 04.11.87 Benfica 1-0 Aarhus | 21.10.87 Aarhus 0-0 Benfica ## Pre-Match Odds | Aarhus (Den) Win | Draw | Benfica (Por) Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 5.80 | 4.80 | 1.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*